Sha Tin · 2024-05-29 · 11:48
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-29 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DAILY TROPHY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with SPEEDY FORTUNE second and COOL BLUE third. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT 1.09.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE P1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | COOL BLUE V2/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER JOY B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 6.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DIAMOND SOARS TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PATCH OF WATCH SR/B1 B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 10 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SMART FOLKS B/SR B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAU GOSSE B/XB1/TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 5.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ALL IS READY B/XB/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | VAMOS B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | DASHING GLORY Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 11.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | FIRE BALL CP H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 56.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER JOY | 19.4% | 5.16 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAU GOSSE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | COOL BLUE | 10.7% | 9.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | DAILY TROPHY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | DIAMOND SOARS | 10.3% | 9.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | FIRE BALL | 5.8% | 17.28 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | VAMOS | 5.5% | 18.07 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | DASHING GLORY | 4.6% | 21.70 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | ALL IS READY | 4.5% | 22.09 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | SMART FOLKS | 3.4% | 29.78 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | PATCH OF WATCH | 2.3% | 43.64 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 41.5
PLACE
2 65
4 33.5
9 16
QUINELLA
2,9 696.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 319.5
2,9 196.5
4,9 90
FORECAST
9,2 876
TIERCE
9,2,4 6,316
TRIO
2,4,9 1,492
FIRST 4
2,4,8,9 1,982
QUARTET
9,2,4,8 49,328
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 75.5
4/9 146.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/2,4,9 12,058