Sha Tin · 2024-05-29 · 14:19
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. VICTORY MOMENTS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with CAPITAL DELIGHT second and HONG KONG HALL third. The 3.7 favourite SING DRAGON finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/B1/TT 1.08.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SING DRAGON K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 12 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | CALL ME DANDY B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | BEAUTY INFINITY P1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SKY FOREVER B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 53.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | MAGNIAC B-/V2/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 10 | 42.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 39.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SING DRAGON | 31.6% | 3.17 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | CALL ME DANDY | 14.8% | 6.78 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 7.8% | 12.78 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA | 6.0% | 16.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 5.5% | 18.08 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL | 5.3% | 18.99 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 4.6% | 21.62 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 3.3% | 30.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 3.1% | 32.04 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | SKY FOREVER | 1.7% | 58.14 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | MAGNIAC | 1.4% | 69.99 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 44
PLACE
3 16.5
5 22.5
6 41.5
QUINELLA
3,5 180
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 64.5
3,6 106
5,6 201.5
FORECAST
3,5 306
TIERCE
3,5,6 4,831
TRIO
3,5,6 1,105
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 809
QUARTET
3,5,6,1 18,913
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,047.5
5/5 336.5