Sha Tin · 2024-05-29 · 13:18
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SELF IMPROVEMENT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 3-1/2, with EVERYONE'S VICTORY second and ROBOT KNIGHT third. The 3.4 favourite PRIME MORTAR finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT 1.08.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY CP/H/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 12 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT TT1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 11 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FUN N GLORY XB1/TT- H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 2 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | CRAZY TREASURE B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 5 | 3.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 119.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 10 | 44.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDEN TITLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 107.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 1 | EURO ROCKS C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FUN N GLORY | 23.0% | 4.34 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | PRIME MORTAR | 20.2% | 4.94 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 13.7% | 7.32 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | CRAZY TREASURE | 10.2% | 9.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | PINS PRINCE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 7.3% | 13.75 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 6.2% | 16.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY | 5.4% | 18.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.1% | 31.96 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN TITLE | 1.4% | 70.04 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 0.7% | 148.65 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37
PLACE
3 15.5
7 31.5
9 24
QUINELLA
3,7 201
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 63.5
3,9 61.5
7,9 123
FORECAST
3,7 354
TIERCE
3,7,9 1,996
TRIO
3,7,9 477
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 895
QUARTET
3,7,9,8 19,134
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/12/3 3,296
1/12/7 1,362
4TH DOUBLE
12/3 647
12/7 231