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Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 10:41

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO YIELDING 1000m Course A 12 runners

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. GOOD VIEW GLORY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with HAPPY TANGO second and EASY TWO third. The 3.2 favourite HAPPY TANGO finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.57.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 GOOD VIEW GLORY B1 0.57.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C H Yip 1 6.0 HD
2 5 HAPPY TANGO B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 8 3.2 HD
3 12 EASY TWO H/V2/TT M F Poon · K H Ting 2 20.0 1-3/4
4 3 PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 11.0 2-1/2
5 11 AUGUST MOON BO/TT B Thompson · J Richards 11 27.0 2-3/4
6 9 MULTIMORE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 6 19.0 2-3/4
7 6 SAME TO YOU H/P/TT B Avdulla · M Newnham 12 11.0 3
8 1 KING INVINCIBLE B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 5 5.9 4
9 4 GALLANT GOODY H Bowman · P F Yiu 7 20.0 4-1/4
10 7 SUPER ELITE CP-/H/B1/XB2 A Badel · D J Hall 3 13.0 4-3/4
11 2 PLENTIFUL CP/H/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng 10 13.0 5-1/4
12 10 GOODMANSHIP B/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte 9 18.0 6-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOOD VIEW GLORY2. HAPPY TANGO+0.2L3. EASY TWO+1.75L4. PHILOS+2.5L5. AUGUST MOON+2.75L6. MULTIMORE+2.75L7. SAME TO YOU+3L8. KING INVINCIBLE+4L9. GALLANT GOODY+4.25L10. SUPER ELITE+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GOOD VIEW GLORY (25.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 GOOD VIEW GLORY 25.3% 3.95 1
2 5 HAPPY TANGO 10.6% 9.45 2
3 1 KING INVINCIBLE 10.5% 9.49 8
4 7 SUPER ELITE 8.6% 11.66 10
5 3 PHILOS 7.1% 14.09 4
6 2 PLENTIFUL 6.6% 15.15 11
7 10 GOODMANSHIP 6.6% 15.19 12
8 6 SAME TO YOU 5.8% 17.19 7
9 4 GALLANT GOODY 5.4% 18.55 9
10 9 MULTIMORE 5.0% 20.06 6
11 12 EASY TWO 4.7% 21.07 3
12 11 AUGUST MOON 3.8% 26.46 5
GOOD VIEW GLORY — wonHAPPY TANGOKING INVINCIBLESUPER ELITEPHILOSPLENTIFULGOODMANSHIPSAME TO YOUGALLANT GOODYMULTIMOREEASY TWOAUGUST MOON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 60.5

PLACE

5 15

8 24

12 54

QUINELLA

5,8 107.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 45

5,12 101.5

8,12 149

FORECAST

8,5 247

TIERCE

8,5,12 2,037

TRIO

5,8,12 484

FIRST 4

3,5,8,12 925

QUARTET

8,5,12,3 16,773