Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 11:11
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SHARPEN BRIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-3/4, with SERANGOON second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly B 2.18.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 4 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 57.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CHATEAU LE PECHE Led early B A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 4.4 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | REACH GOAL TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 9.5 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 7 | 17.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | FIGHTING MAN XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 19.0 | 71-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 24.3% | 4.11 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 9.2% | 10.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | REACH GOAL | 9.1% | 10.93 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT | 6.7% | 15.01 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | FIGHTING MAN | 6.5% | 15.43 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | INTREPID WINNER | 5.9% | 17.04 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SERANGOON | 5.3% | 19.01 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 4.7% | 21.17 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.6% | 21.76 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.6% | 38.04 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 0.9% | 111.66 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 32.5
PLACE
1 28.5
4 34.5
6 14.5
QUINELLA
4,6 234
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 175.5
1,6 60
4,6 82.5
FORECAST
6,4 401
TIERCE
6,4,1 2,782
TRIO
1,4,6 594
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 2,215
QUARTET
6,4,1,8 40,891
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/4 154
8/6 204