Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 13:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. HELENE WARRIOR, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with ZOOM BOOM second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HELENE WARRIOR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.40.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 6 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BEATO V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | GALVANIC Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FRANTANCK Led early L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 5.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 34.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | LEAN HERO B/XB/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 30.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GALVANIC | 16.3% | 6.13 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | FRANTANCK | 14.2% | 7.05 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | HELENE WARRIOR | 11.0% | 9.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE | 10.7% | 9.33 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 9.9% | 10.13 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | ZOOM BOOM | 9.2% | 10.82 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | BEATO | 9.0% | 11.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | LOVERO | 8.3% | 12.01 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING | 5.1% | 19.63 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | LEAN HERO | 3.2% | 31.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 3.1% | 32.71 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 42
PLACE
4 18.5
10 16
11 19
QUINELLA
4,10 121
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 49.5
4,11 49.5
10,11 51
FORECAST
10,4 263
TIERCE
10,4,11 954
TRIO
4,10,11 188
FIRST 4
4,8,10,11 884
QUARTET
10,4,11,8 14,614
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/4,10,11 3,238
6TH DOUBLE
11/4 35
11/10 154
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,9/3,9,11/4,10,11 68,796
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,9/3,9,11/Any Combination 409