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Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO YIELDING 1650m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 HELENE WARRIOR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.40.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum 5 4.2 2
2 4 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 5.6 2
3 11 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo 6 5.3 3-1/4
4 8 BEATO V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 11 20.0 3-3/4
5 2 GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 16.0 5
6 9 GALVANIC Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 14.0 5-1/4
7 1 FRANTANCK Led early L Ferraris · P C Ng 1 5.9 5-3/4
8 6 ROCKET SPADE TT H Bowman · C Fownes 2 7.1 6
9 7 EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 9 34.0 9
10 5 LEAN HERO B/XB/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 3 30.0 9-1/4
11 3 LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 17.0 15-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. HELENE WARRIOR, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with ZOOM BOOM second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HELENE WARRIOR—2. ZOOM BOOM+2L3. CHAIN OF GOLD+3.25L4. BEATO+3.75L5. GALLANT WAKING+5L6. GALVANIC+5.25L7. FRANTANCK+5.75L8. ROCKET SPADE+6L9. EIGHTEEN PALMS+9L10. LEAN HERO+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GALVANIC (16.3%) finished 6th — the winner HELENE WARRIOR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 GALVANIC 16.3% 6.13 6
2 1 FRANTANCK 14.2% 7.05 7
3 10 HELENE WARRIOR 11.0% 9.05 1
4 6 ROCKET SPADE 10.7% 9.33 8
5 11 CHAIN OF GOLD 9.9% 10.13 3
6 4 ZOOM BOOM 9.2% 10.82 2
7 8 BEATO 9.0% 11.15 4
8 3 LOVERO 8.3% 12.01 11
9 2 GALLANT WAKING 5.1% 19.63 5
10 5 LEAN HERO 3.2% 31.57 10
11 7 EIGHTEEN PALMS 3.1% 32.71 9
GALVANICFRANTANCKHELENE WARRIOR — wonROCKET SPADECHAIN OF GOLDZOOM BOOMBEATOLOVEROGALLANT WAKINGLEAN HEROEIGHTEEN PALMS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 42

PLACE

4 18.5

10 16

11 19

QUINELLA

4,10 121

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 49.5

4,11 49.5

10,11 51

FORECAST

10,4 263

TIERCE

10,4,11 954

TRIO

4,10,11 188

FIRST 4

4,8,10,11 884

QUARTET

10,4,11,8 14,614

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,9,11/4,10,11 3,238

6TH DOUBLE

11/4 35

11/10 154

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,9/3,9,11/4,10,11 68,796

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,9/3,9,11/Any Combination 409