Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 12:12
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ERNEST FEELING, ridden by B Thompson and trained by J Richards, won by 1-1/4, with GOLDEN CHAMPION second and COSMO NAVIGATOR third. The 3.2 favourite SO TREASURE finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT 1.11.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 9 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN CHAMPION CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 66.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FAIRY HORSE TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | LAPRAS TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 7 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | EASY SNIP B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | THE GREAT MASTER Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SO TREASURE CP L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 3.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 4 | 4.5 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | SMASHING EXPRESS E1/P1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 31.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | E UNIVERSE TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 36 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SO TREASURE | 19.4% | 5.15 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 14.5% | 6.89 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | E UNIVERSE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 13.1% | 7.65 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 11.2% | 8.92 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 6.8% | 14.63 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | EASY SNIP | 6.8% | 14.81 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | LAPRAS | 5.2% | 19.41 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | THE GREAT MASTER | 3.3% | 30.34 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | FAIRY HORSE | 2.7% | 37.00 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN CHAMPION | 2.4% | 40.84 | 2 |
| 12 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 1.3% | 74.46 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 310
PLACE
6 71.5
9 17.5
11 135.5
QUINELLA
6,11 6,945.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 188
6,11 1,582
9,11 399.5
FORECAST
6,11 13,238
TIERCE
6,11,9 97,035
TRIO
6,9,11 9,253
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 22,491
QUARTET
6,11,9,10 759,868
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/6 1,482.5
4/11 371