Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 14:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. HAPPY FAT CAT, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by W K Mo, won by HD, with KYRUS DRAGON second and KAHOLO ANGEL third. The 4.0 favourite LADY'S CHOICE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP2/TT 1.10.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 6 | 49.0 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 6.1 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | JOY COMING B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | WATCH BUDDY H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 10 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 101.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 17.2% | 5.83 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | KYRUS DRAGON | 12.1% | 8.25 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | WATCH BUDDY | 10.9% | 9.19 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 9.7% | 10.27 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED | 9.4% | 10.63 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 8.6% | 11.69 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 8.2% | 12.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | JOY COMING | 7.9% | 12.60 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH | 5.2% | 19.12 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 4.7% | 21.26 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.3% | 23.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 1.8% | 55.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 490.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 107.5
12 21
QUINELLA
4,12 1,825
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 532.5
1,12 67
4,12 469
FORECAST
4,12 4,294
TIERCE
4,12,1 19,847
TRIO
1,4,12 2,780
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 3,904
QUARTET
4,12,1,5 181,685
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
10/4 1,716.5
10/12 36.5