Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly 1.41.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 1 | 7.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SKY TRUST B/H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | I CAN Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER BABY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly P/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 77.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 60.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | CONTI CONTI TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 42.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | FORTUNE COOKIES B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 8 | 134.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 8 | MATSU VICTOR H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 70.0 | 21-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. NORTHERN BEAST, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with STURDY RUBY second and SKY TRUST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST | 26.0% | 3.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 22.3% | 4.48 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | SKY TRUST | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | STURDY RUBY | 9.7% | 10.31 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | I CAN | 8.1% | 12.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 7.8% | 12.79 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER BABY | 2.8% | 35.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 1.9% | 52.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | MATSU VICTOR | 1.9% | 53.03 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 1.5% | 68.02 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | CONTI CONTI | 0.7% | 149.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | FORTUNE COOKIES | 0.3% | 326.62 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 25.5
PLACE
3 17
9 20.5
11 13
QUINELLA
9,11 88
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 52.5
3,11 27
9,11 34.5
FORECAST
11,9 148
TIERCE
11,9,3 469
TRIO
3,9,11 99
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 148
QUARTET
11,9,3,2 2,384
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/9 97.5
2/11 311.5