Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 11:41
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. PACKING POWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with CIRCUIT SEVEN second and SPEEDY SMARTIE third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PACKING POWER TT1 1.10.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 8.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | DRACO TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 3 | 3.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DAN ATTACK CP-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | DOUBLE BINGO B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 12 | 50.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GIMME FIVE K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | DIVINE SHINING BO-/H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | ACE POWER A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 24.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DAN ATTACK | 16.3% | 6.14 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | DRACO | 13.9% | 7.21 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | PACKING POWER | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | GIMME FIVE | 10.8% | 9.22 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 8.5% | 11.79 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | ACE POWER | 8.5% | 11.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 7.5% | 13.25 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | SIGHT HERO | 6.7% | 14.85 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 6.3% | 15.94 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | DOUBLE BINGO | 3.6% | 27.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL | 3.0% | 32.91 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | DIVINE SHINING | 1.8% | 54.67 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 30.5
PLACE
4 17
8 63.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
4,10 281.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 143.5
4,10 95.5
8,10 472.5
FORECAST
4,10 438
TIERCE
4,10,8 4,968
TRIO
4,8,10 1,454
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 5,085
QUARTET
4,10,8,1 87,293
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/4,8,10 142,112
2ND DOUBLE
6/4 109.5
6/10 83