Happy Valley · 2024-06-05 · 14:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. CALIFORNIA TOUCH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with KA YING CHEER second and A AMERIC TE SPECSO third. The 3.7 favourite WINGS OF WAR finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT 1.10.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 4.7 | N |
| 2 | 11 | KA YING CHEER V1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | EXUBERANT B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 9 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB2/TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 8 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 4 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | MEGA BONUS V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 51.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR | 17.9% | 5.58 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 13.0% | 7.68 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING CHEER | 12.3% | 8.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 11.3% | 8.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 9.9% | 10.06 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 7.4% | 13.47 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 6.1% | 16.35 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | EXUBERANT | 5.4% | 18.59 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 4.9% | 20.50 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.3% | 23.42 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER FORTUNE | 4.2% | 23.98 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | MEGA BONUS | 3.3% | 30.55 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 47.5
PLACE
4 30
6 17.5
11 19.5
QUINELLA
6,11 124
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 91
4,11 90.5
6,11 54
FORECAST
6,11 304
TIERCE
6,11,4 1,963
TRIO
4,6,11 383
FIRST 4
4,6,8,11 1,595
QUARTET
6,11,4,8 23,030
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
10/4/6 14,855
10/4/11 1,945
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/4,6,11 104,313
8TH DOUBLE
4/6 2,015.5
4/11 430.5
SIX UP
6,11/2,9/9,11/4,10/4,12/6,11 222,021
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [W K Mo] —