Happy Valley · 2024-06-26 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAYDAY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with GIMME FIVE second and THE PERFECT MATCH third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAYDAY H/XB 1.09.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | GIMME FIVE K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | ROARING BEBE XB/CP1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | AMAZING RUN CP- L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | LAPRAS TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 3 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | HERCULES B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SO AWESOME B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 7 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MULTIDARLING TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 11 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | FAST AS ROCKET TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 6 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B/TT1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 9 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | WINNING MONEY H/XB1/TT- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 39.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 16.8% | 5.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | HAYDAY | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | AMAZING RUN | 12.6% | 7.95 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | ROARING BEBE | 10.8% | 9.29 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | HERCULES | 9.1% | 10.99 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | GIMME FIVE | 6.9% | 14.52 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 6.9% | 14.60 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | WINNING MONEY | 5.8% | 17.22 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 5.7% | 17.47 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | LAPRAS | 5.3% | 18.86 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 3.6% | 27.71 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | FAST AS ROCKET | 1.6% | 62.25 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 21.5
PLACE
1 18.5
5 10.1
9 22
QUINELLA
5,9 74.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 28.5
1,9 57.5
5,9 31.5
FORECAST
5,9 112
TIERCE
5,9,1 445
TRIO
1,5,9 128
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 149
QUARTET
5,9,1,3 2,272
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/5 52.5
8/9 37