Happy Valley · 2024-06-26 · 11:42
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. COMET SPLENDIDO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with KYRUS UNICORN second and SURE JOYFUL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite STORM LEGEND finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT 1.39.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | GREAT ACHIEVER Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly CP-/H-/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 8 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER EAGLE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | STORM LEGEND E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER BABY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | PATCH OF TIME H/TT- K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 2 | 4.9 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | GOLDEN LUCK Led early XB/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 12 | 54.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 36.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STORM LEGEND | 17.3% | 5.78 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 16.3% | 6.12 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | PATCH OF TIME | 12.8% | 7.80 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL | 10.5% | 9.48 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | RED MAJESTY | 9.5% | 10.58 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | KYRUS UNICORN | 7.1% | 14.01 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER EAGLE | 5.8% | 17.30 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SIXTH GENERATION | 5.4% | 18.55 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER BABY | 4.2% | 23.61 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN LUCK | 4.1% | 24.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 3.6% | 27.78 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 3.3% | 30.66 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 52
PLACE
1 19
7 25
11 36
QUINELLA
1,11 255.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 63.5
1,11 90.5
7,11 127.5
FORECAST
1,11 481
TIERCE
1,11,7 3,398
TRIO
1,7,11 686
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 993
QUARTET
1,11,7,2 22,656
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/1,7,11 8,983
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 182.5
5/11 89