Happy Valley · 2024-06-26 · 12:11
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ONE FOR ALL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by 3/4, with LEAN MASTER second and SIGHT HERO third. The 2.0 favourite LEAN MASTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LEAN MASTER B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SIGHT HERO B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 4 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | JOLLY COMPANION CP-/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | DENFIELD TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | TATTENHAM H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | DAN ATTACK TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 3 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FAIRY HORSE TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FLYING PHANTOM H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 62.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BRAVO WARRIOR TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 126.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LEAN MASTER | 31.8% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | DAN ATTACK | 12.5% | 8.01 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | DENFIELD | 12.0% | 8.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | JOLLY COMPANION | 7.4% | 13.44 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | FAIRY HORSE | 7.0% | 14.32 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.6% | 18.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 5.2% | 19.20 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | ONE FOR ALL | 5.1% | 19.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | FLYING PHANTOM | 5.0% | 19.85 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | TATTENHAM | 4.6% | 21.83 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | SIGHT HERO | 3.0% | 33.74 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | BRAVO WARRIOR | 0.9% | 117.18 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 60.5
PLACE
2 11
3 23
6 59
QUINELLA
2,3 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 37
2,6 92.5
3,6 190
FORECAST
3,2 216
TIERCE
3,2,6 2,220
TRIO
2,3,6 492
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 1,290
QUARTET
3,2,6,7 24,491
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 27
1/3 462.5