Happy Valley · 2024-06-26 · 14:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHAIN OF GOLD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W K Mo, won by 1, with ROMANTIC LAOS second and HAMERON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite HELENE WARRIOR finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly H/CP2/TT 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 5 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 11 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | HAMERON Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 3 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | HELENE WARRIOR XB/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 6 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ROCKET SPADE B2/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GALLANT WAKING C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SPLENDID LIVING CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | KING GLORIOSO CP1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 71.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 9 | 56.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 8 | BEAUTY INFINITY Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HELENE WARRIOR | 21.2% | 4.72 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | HAMERON | 18.8% | 5.32 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 12.1% | 8.30 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | GALLANT WAKING | 8.9% | 11.23 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY | 8.0% | 12.46 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 7.9% | 12.69 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.58 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | ROCKET SPADE | 5.8% | 17.10 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | SPLENDID LIVING | 5.1% | 19.66 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 2.9% | 34.09 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | KING GLORIOSO | 2.4% | 41.62 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 53
PLACE
2 21
6 52.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
6,12 600
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 198.5
2,12 57.5
6,12 154.5
FORECAST
12,6 1,064
TIERCE
12,6,2 5,749
TRIO
2,6,12 1,012
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 2,415
QUARTET
12,6,2,3 52,473
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/6 113.5
3/12 128.5