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Happy Valley · 2024-06-26 · 22:17

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly H/CP2/TT 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W K Mo 5 5.3 1
2 6 ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo 11 20.0 1
3 2 HAMERON Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K W Lui 3 6.7 1-3/4
4 3 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng 7 14.0 2
5 5 HELENE WARRIOR XB/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 6 2.3 2-1/4
6 10 CAPITAL LEGEND TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 10 17.0 2-3/4
7 9 ROCKET SPADE B2/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 4 10.0 3-1/4
8 4 GALLANT WAKING C L Chau · K W Lui 2 12.0 4-1/4
9 1 SPLENDID LIVING CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 1 17.0 8
10 11 KING GLORIOSO CP1 A Badel · D J Whyte 8 71.0 8-1/2
11 7 MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V H T Mo · F C Lor 9 56.0 15-1/2
— 8 BEAUTY INFINITY Z Purton · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHAIN OF GOLD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W K Mo, won by 1, with ROMANTIC LAOS second and HAMERON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite HELENE WARRIOR finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHAIN OF GOLD—2. ROMANTIC LAOS+1L3. HAMERON+1.75L4. SUPREME AGILITY+2L5. HELENE WARRIOR+2.25L6. CAPITAL LEGEND+2.75L7. ROCKET SPADE+3.25L8. GALLANT WAKING+4.25L9. SPLENDID LIVING+8L10. KING GLORIOSO+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick HELENE WARRIOR (21.2%) finished 5th — the winner CHAIN OF GOLD was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 HELENE WARRIOR 21.2% 4.72 5
2 2 HAMERON 18.8% 5.32 3
3 12 CHAIN OF GOLD 12.1% 8.30 1
4 4 GALLANT WAKING 8.9% 11.23 8
5 3 SUPREME AGILITY 8.0% 12.46 4
6 6 ROMANTIC LAOS 7.9% 12.69 2
7 10 CAPITAL LEGEND 6.9% 14.58 6
8 9 ROCKET SPADE 5.8% 17.10 7
9 1 SPLENDID LIVING 5.1% 19.66 9
10 7 MASSIVE ACTION 2.9% 34.09 11
11 11 KING GLORIOSO 2.4% 41.62 10
HELENE WARRIORHAMERONCHAIN OF GOLD — wonGALLANT WAKINGSUPREME AGILITYROMANTIC LAOSCAPITAL LEGENDROCKET SPADESPLENDID LIVINGMASSIVE ACTIONKING GLORIOSO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 53

PLACE

2 21

6 52.5

12 17.5

QUINELLA

6,12 600

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 198.5

2,12 57.5

6,12 154.5

FORECAST

12,6 1,064

TIERCE

12,6,2 5,749

TRIO

2,6,12 1,012

FIRST 4

2,3,6,12 2,415

QUARTET

12,6,2,3 52,473

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

3/6 113.5

3/12 128.5