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Happy Valley · 2024-06-26 · 13:46

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course C 9 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-26 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and SUPERB CAPITALIST third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 COPARTNER PRANCE XB 1.08.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 2 1.8 3/4
2 6 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 6 27.0 3/4
3 1 SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 3.8 1-1/4
4 10 REWARD SMILE TT A Badel · J Size 8 11.0 3-1/2
5 8 SING DRAGON K Teetan · M Newnham 9 16.0 4-3/4
6 7 COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 3 17.0 5-1/2
7 4 SEASONS WIT V-/SR1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 7 75.0 5-1/2
8 5 GUMMY GUMMY B C L Chau · T P Yung 4 8.0 6-1/4
9 9 DREAM WINNER CP C Y Ho · F C Lor 5 42.0 18
2 COLOURFUL EMPEROR Y L Chung · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER PRANCE2. HARMONY N BLESSED+0.75L3. SUPERB CAPITALIST+1.25L4. REWARD SMILE+3.5L5. SING DRAGON+4.75L6. COPARTNER AMBITION+5.5L7. SEASONS WIT+5.5L8. GUMMY GUMMY+6.25L9. DREAM WINNER+18L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick COPARTNER PRANCE (38.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 COPARTNER PRANCE 38.7% 2.59 1
2 8 SING DRAGON 16.6% 6.04 5
3 5 GUMMY GUMMY 11.6% 8.58 8
4 6 HARMONY N BLESSED 8.2% 12.24 2
5 1 SUPERB CAPITALIST 7.9% 12.72 3
6 7 COPARTNER AMBITION 6.9% 14.51 6
7 10 REWARD SMILE 4.8% 20.79 4
8 9 DREAM WINNER 3.7% 26.82 9
9 4 SEASONS WIT 1.7% 60.03 7
COPARTNER PRANCE — wonSING DRAGONGUMMY GUMMYHARMONY N BLESSEDSUPERB CAPITALISTCOPARTNER AMBITIONREWARD SMILEDREAM WINNERSEASONS WIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 18

PLACE

1 16.5

3 10.1

6 43.5

QUINELLA

3,6 211

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 18

1,6 105

3,6 67

FORECAST

3,6 273

TIERCE

3,6,1 609

TRIO

1,3,6 141

FIRST 4

1,3,6,10 264

QUARTET

3,6,1,10 3,984

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,5/1,3,6 935

6TH DOUBLE

5/3 36

5/6 112.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,5/2,3,5/1,3,6 3,808

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,5/2,3,5/Any Combination 65