Sha Tin · 2024-11-24 · 12:47
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER WISE DRAGON Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | FIRE BALL Closed strongly CP K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | LINK Closed strongly CP-/XB/BL1/BO1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 55.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HOSS Closed strongly B/XB/TT J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 13 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER GLORY P-/PC2/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SKYEY BLUE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | SUNNY SHINES B/TT H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING ROMANTIC H- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY FEELING Closed strongly K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 4 | 88.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | BEAU GOSSE PC-/XB/B2 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | THE KHAN SR H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 7.2 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | CHILLI BABA B/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.6 | 15-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | OMAKASE Led early P-/H Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 33.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-24 was Class 5 over 1400m. SUPER WISE DRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-3/4, with FIRE BALL second and SO AWESOME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | THE KHAN | 12.2% | 8.22 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | CHILLI BABA | 10.3% | 9.66 | 13 |
| 4 | 3 | HOSS | 9.3% | 10.73 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 8.2% | 12.26 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | SUNNY SHINES | 6.8% | 14.70 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAU GOSSE | 6.6% | 15.15 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER GLORY | 5.5% | 18.06 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 4.2% | 23.97 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | FIRE BALL | 4.1% | 24.55 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | SKYEY BLUE | 4.0% | 25.14 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | OMAKASE | 3.5% | 28.96 | 14 |
| 13 | 4 | LINK | 3.4% | 29.40 | 4 |
| 14 | 12 | HAPPY FEELING | 2.9% | 34.65 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 40
PLACE
6 17
10 22.5
11 29
QUINELLA
6,11 190.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 61
6,11 76
10,11 133
FORECAST
6,11 383
TIERCE
6,11,10 2,456
TRIO
6,10,11 544
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 5,182
QUARTET
6,11,10,4 98,209