Sha Tin · 2024-11-24 · 15:41
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B 1.34.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 45.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 10 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN DARCI Closed strongly XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly CP1/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SOARING BRONCO TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 2.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SOLID WIN TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ARIEL Led early CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 14 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 76.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | ALP'S AFFECTION V/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | SATIRICAL GLORY SR/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR B-/H1/CP2 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 154.0 | 17-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA BANNER Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-24 was Class 4 over 1600m. MATSU VICTOR, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with FLYING LUCK second and JUMBO FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SOARING BRONCO finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SOARING BRONCO | 29.6% | 3.38 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLDEN DARCI | 11.3% | 8.89 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING LUCK | 11.2% | 8.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 8.1% | 12.27 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | SOLID WIN | 7.2% | 13.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE | 5.4% | 18.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 4.3% | 23.22 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR | 3.7% | 27.15 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | ALP'S AFFECTION | 3.0% | 33.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.6% | 38.12 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 2.2% | 45.72 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | ARIEL | 1.7% | 58.74 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR | 0.9% | 105.44 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 451.5
PLACE
3 42.5
6 19.5
7 92.5
QUINELLA
3,7 1,968.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 104.5
3,7 668.5
6,7 304.5
FORECAST
7,3 4,783
TIERCE
7,3,6 43,612
TRIO
3,6,7 4,608
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 7,827
QUARTET
7,3,6,9 230,437
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,11/3,6,7 133,087
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 105.5
7/7 1,840.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,5/5,7,11/3,6,7 1,602,798
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/5,7,11/Any Combination 250