Sha Tin · 2024-11-24 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHARMING LEGEND Closed strongly 1.21.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B1/TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 22.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly P-/H/XB1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | MICKLEY Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KEMPES Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 66.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | THE HEIR Closed strongly B-/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 11 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FIRST LOVE Closed strongly TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ALSONSO J McDonald · M Newnham | J McDonald | M Newnham | 14 | 6.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | WINNING GOLD H/CP1/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 4 | 6.2 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | BLESSED NATION XB/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 95.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | AERIS NOVA B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 25.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | PRESTIGE RICKY C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 12 | STAR GLOW XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 68.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-24 was Class 3 over 1400m. CHARMING LEGEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with GLORIOUS SUCCESS second and KA YING SUPERB third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite LUCY IN THE SKY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 22.7% | 4.40 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | CHARMING LEGEND | 18.7% | 5.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | ALSONSO | 15.2% | 6.56 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING GOLD | 12.2% | 8.20 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | MICKLEY | 10.9% | 9.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | FIRST LOVE | 4.2% | 23.70 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 3.5% | 28.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | THE HEIR | 3.3% | 29.98 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 2.8% | 35.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | AERIS NOVA | 2.2% | 44.87 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | KEMPES | 1.9% | 53.69 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | KA YING SUPERB | 1.3% | 74.63 | 3 |
| 13 | 6 | BLESSED NATION | 1.0% | 101.05 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 45.5
PLACE
7 19
10 55
13 53.5
QUINELLA
7,10 578.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 176
7,13 157
10,13 561.5
FORECAST
7,10 1,079
TIERCE
7,10,13 15,839
TRIO
7,10,13 2,999
FIRST 4
2,7,10,13 8,894
QUARTET
7,10,13,2 135,323
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,12/7,10,13 145,979
7TH DOUBLE
8/7 252
8/10 127.5