Sha Tin · 2024-11-24 · 16:14
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB 1.33.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | TOP GUN Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 11 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | KARMA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 9 | 87.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | YOUNG CHAMPION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ROMANTIC THOR CP1/XB1/TT1 A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 7 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | TELECOM FIGHTERS P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 69.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 59.0 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-24 was Class 2 over 1600m. PATCH OF THETA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with VOYAGE SAMURAI second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 22.4% | 4.46 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | GREEN N WHITE | 21.6% | 4.63 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 10.2% | 9.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 9.5% | 10.50 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA | 9.0% | 11.12 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.6% | 15.12 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | KARMA | 5.3% | 18.73 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.6% | 28.14 | 12 |
| 9 | 14 | TOP GUN | 2.4% | 41.89 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | ROMANTIC THOR | 2.4% | 42.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | OUTGATE | 2.3% | 42.82 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 1.8% | 55.09 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | HELENE FEELING | 1.7% | 57.23 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH | 1.1% | 89.70 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 48
PLACE
8 17
10 24
12 20
QUINELLA
8,12 107.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 61
8,12 43
10,12 80.5
FORECAST
8,12 226
TIERCE
8,12,10 1,342
TRIO
8,10,12 280
FIRST 4
8,10,12,14 2,636
QUARTET
8,12,10,14 35,888
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7/8 2,269.5
7/12 366.5