沙田 · 2024-11-24 · 08:15
第 7場
2024-11-24沙田第7場，Class 2，途程1600米。由K C Leung策騎、K W Lui訓練的PATCH OF THETA勝出，贏出2-1/4。VOYAGE SAMURAI獲得亞軍；SUNLIGHT POWER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA 後段發力 XB 1.33.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | VOYAGE SAMURAI 早段領放 CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUNLIGHT POWER 後段發力 CP/H A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | TOP GUN 後段發力 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | GREEN N WHITE 後段發力 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 11 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | KARMA 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 9 | 87.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | YOUNG CHAMPION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ROMANTIC THOR CP1/XB1/TT1 A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 7 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | TELECOM FIGHTERS P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 69.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 59.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 22.4% | 4.46 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | GREEN N WHITE | 21.6% | 4.63 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 10.2% | 9.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 9.5% | 10.50 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA | 9.0% | 11.12 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.6% | 15.12 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | KARMA | 5.3% | 18.73 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.6% | 28.14 | 12 |
| 9 | 14 | TOP GUN | 2.4% | 41.89 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | ROMANTIC THOR | 2.4% | 42.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | OUTGATE | 2.3% | 42.82 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 1.8% | 55.09 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | HELENE FEELING | 1.7% | 57.23 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | THE BEST PEACH | 1.1% | 89.70 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 48
PLACE
8 17
10 24
12 20
QUINELLA
8,12 107.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 61
8,12 43
10,12 80.5
FORECAST
8,12 226
TIERCE
8,12,10 1,342
TRIO
8,10,12 280
FIRST 4
8,10,12,14 2,636
QUARTET
8,12,10,14 35,888
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
7/8 2,269.5
7/12 366.5