沙田 · 2024-11-24 · 09:55
第 10場
2024-11-24沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米。由L Hewitson策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY TRUST勝出，贏出HD。AMAZING VICTORY獲得亞軍；GOLDEN ARTIE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門ARMOUR WAR EAGLE跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SKY TRUST 後段發力 H/TT 1.34.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 14 | 6.4 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | AMAZING VICTORY 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDEN ARTIE 後段發力 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | N |
| 4 | 6 | FALLON 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 4 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LO PAN SPIRIT 早段領放 B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 2 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | LUPO SOLITARIO 後段發力 CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | STELLAR SWIFT 後段發力 CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | NAMJONG KINGDOM TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 7 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 9 | 4.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CHING CP1 H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 8 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON 後段發力 B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 13 | 53.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | DILBAGH XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 145.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | SWEET ENCOUNTER B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 47.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GOOD LUCK BABE B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 21.8% | 4.59 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | SKY TRUST | 16.2% | 6.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | STELLAR SWIFT | 9.6% | 10.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | FALLON | 6.9% | 14.53 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.93 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 5.5% | 18.20 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | CHING | 5.3% | 18.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING VICTORY | 5.2% | 19.21 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 4.1% | 24.43 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 2.6% | 38.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 1.9% | 53.34 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 1.5% | 67.16 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | DILBAGH | 0.7% | 152.33 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 64.5
PLACE
9 23
10 39
12 35.5
QUINELLA
9,12 463.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 155.5
9,12 134.5
10,12 239.5
FORECAST
9,12 663
TIERCE
9,12,10 8,136
TRIO
9,10,12 1,490
FIRST 4
6,9,10,12 3,272
QUARTET
9,12,10,6 56,084
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/5/9 2,021
7/5/12 1,003
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/9,10,12 48,307
9TH DOUBLE
5/9 434
5/12 149
SIX UP
7/7/8/7/5/9 2,788,402
7,11/3,7/8,12/7,10/2,5/9,12 11,905
3 [K C Leung] —
8 [W K Mo] —