沙田 · 2024-11-24 · 09:20
第 9場
2024-11-24沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由J McDonald策騎、D Eustace訓練的SWIFT ASCEND勝出，贏出2-1/4。SAVVY BRILLIANT獲得亞軍；FULL CREDIT獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門SAVVY BRILLIANT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT 1.08.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 5 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SAVVY BRILLIANT XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | AURORA LADY CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 9 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | ENDUED TT1 C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 12 | 50.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SUGAR BALL TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 11 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HAROLD WIN B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 10 | 6.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR/XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 94.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SKY FOREVER B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 45.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | THE STORM TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 21.0 | 81-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 35.8% | 2.79 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | SWIFT ASCEND | 10.2% | 9.84 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | HAROLD WIN | 10.0% | 9.98 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 9.5% | 10.48 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | AURORA LADY | 6.4% | 15.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | FULL CREDIT | 6.1% | 16.38 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SUGAR BALL | 5.9% | 17.01 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 5.6% | 17.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | ENDUED | 3.0% | 33.75 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | THE STORM | 2.8% | 35.92 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | SKY FOREVER | 2.6% | 38.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 2.2% | 46.22 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 69.5
PLACE
1 18
2 14.5
5 21
QUINELLA
2,5 86
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 33
1,5 61
2,5 38
FORECAST
5,2 227
TIERCE
5,2,1 929
TRIO
1,2,5 131
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 516
QUARTET
5,2,1,9 10,913
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
7/2 20.5
7/5 316.5