沙田 · 2024-11-24 · 06:20
第 4場
2024-11-24沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的OFFROAD MASTER勝出，贏出3/4。SHANGHAI STYLE獲得亞軍；GOLDEN LONG獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門GOLDEN LONG跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | OFFROAD MASTER B 1.08.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG H1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | DRAGON AIR FORCE XB/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ROBOT KNIGHT TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 4.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLAR UP P-/H/PC1/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | DAILY TROPHY B-/V1/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 9 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | EURO ROCKS SR-/B2/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 10 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | LIFE OF STONE B1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 11 | 56.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | RIDING HIGH TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 12 | 7.6 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 19.1% | 5.22 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 16.0% | 6.25 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG | 14.4% | 6.94 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | OFFROAD MASTER | 8.8% | 11.34 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION | 6.2% | 16.03 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | SMART LEADER | 5.3% | 18.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | RIDING HIGH | 5.1% | 19.56 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | SOLAR UP | 4.3% | 23.15 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | DAILY TROPHY | 3.6% | 27.43 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | EURO ROCKS | 2.7% | 37.42 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | LIFE OF STONE | 1.5% | 66.20 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 122
PLACE
1 16
3 17.5
5 37
QUINELLA
3,5 306
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 51.5
1,5 85
3,5 112.5
FORECAST
5,3 757
TIERCE
5,3,1 2,493
TRIO
1,3,5 237
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 272
QUARTET
5,3,1,7 9,071
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/1,3,5 255,469
3RD DOUBLE
7/3 417
7/5 3,698