沙田 · 2024-11-24 · 07:45
第 6場
2024-11-24沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米。由M L Yeung策騎、K W Lui訓練的MATSU VICTOR勝出，贏出SH。FLYING LUCK獲得亞軍；JUMBO FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門SOARING BRONCO跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR 後段發力 B 1.34.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 45.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING LUCK 後段發力 B/H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 PC-/B2/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 10 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN DARCI 後段發力 XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE 後段發力 CP1/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SOARING BRONCO TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 2.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SOLID WIN TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ARIEL 早段領放 CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 14 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | SMASHING EXPRESS 後段發力 E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 76.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | ALP'S AFFECTION V/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | SATIRICAL GLORY SR/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR B-/H1/CP2 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 154.0 | 17-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA BANNER Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SOARING BRONCO | 29.6% | 3.38 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLDEN DARCI | 11.3% | 8.89 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING LUCK | 11.2% | 8.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 8.1% | 12.27 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | SOLID WIN | 7.2% | 13.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE | 5.4% | 18.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 4.3% | 23.22 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR | 3.7% | 27.15 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | ALP'S AFFECTION | 3.0% | 33.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.6% | 38.12 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 2.2% | 45.72 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | ARIEL | 1.7% | 58.74 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR | 0.9% | 105.44 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 451.5
PLACE
3 42.5
6 19.5
7 92.5
QUINELLA
3,7 1,968.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 104.5
3,7 668.5
6,7 304.5
FORECAST
7,3 4,783
TIERCE
7,3,6 43,612
TRIO
3,6,7 4,608
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 7,827
QUARTET
7,3,6,9 230,437
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,11/3,6,7 133,087
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 105.5
7/7 1,840.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,5/5,7,11/3,6,7 1,602,798
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/5,7,11/Any Combination 250