沙田 · 2024-11-24 · 05:20
第 2場
2024-11-24沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米。由K C Leung策騎、W K Mo訓練的ALLURING LAOS勝出，贏出1/2。KA YING RESILIENCE獲得亞軍；FLYING DRAGON獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門KA YING RESILIENCE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALLURING LAOS TT1 0.56.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KA YING RESILIENCE CP1/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | FLYING DRAGON A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | RISING PHOENIX B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 2 | 103.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GRAND NOVA E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 7.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | DAN ATTACK B/TT P N Wong · J Richards | P N Wong | J Richards | 10 | 8.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY H/P A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SHINY RAPIDASH B1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | RUN YES RUN CP-/B1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SOLAR RIVER B1/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 54.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | DOUBLE BINGO H-/B1 K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 91.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | PRECIOUS HILL TT1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 114.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 56.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | GRAND NOVA | 15.7% | 6.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | FUN ELITE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 6 |
| 4 | 14 | DAN ATTACK | 9.0% | 11.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | RUN YES RUN | 8.0% | 12.47 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS | 6.4% | 15.63 | 14 |
| 7 | 10 | SOLAR RIVER | 5.5% | 18.14 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | RISING PHOENIX | 5.1% | 19.70 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY | 4.8% | 20.64 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | SHINY RAPIDASH | 4.7% | 21.08 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | ALLURING LAOS | 4.5% | 22.29 | 1 |
| 12 | 5 | PRECIOUS HILL | 2.2% | 45.07 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | FLYING DRAGON | 1.9% | 51.52 | 3 |
| 14 | 12 | DOUBLE BINGO | 1.3% | 75.65 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 148
PLACE
3 11.5
4 56
13 31
QUINELLA
3,4 221.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 76.5
3,13 54
4,13 235.5
FORECAST
4,3 597
TIERCE
4,3,13 6,647
TRIO
3,4,13 824
FIRST 4
3,4,6,13 9,649
QUARTET
4,3,13,6 196,534
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/3 26
6/4 643.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,11/3,4,13 50,564