Sha Tin · 2024-12-01 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PRECISION GOAL Closed strongly TT 1.38.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.0 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | YODA'S CHOICE Led early CP/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 2 | 5.1 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | YEABOI Closed strongly B-/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 5 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | VERBIER B- H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 4 | 6.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly B-/V1/XB1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 9.1 | 13-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY SR-/XB/CP1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 34.0 | 20-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 17.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MAGIC TRAVELLER CP/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 38.0 | 42-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-01 was Class 5 over 1650m. PRECISION GOAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with YODA'S CHOICE second and YEABOI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PRECISION GOAL | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | YODA'S CHOICE | 16.1% | 6.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 13.0% | 7.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | VERBIER | 12.8% | 7.81 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | YEABOI | 9.9% | 10.11 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 9.8% | 10.25 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 6.4% | 15.57 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 3.9% | 25.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | LEATHER MASTER | 3.9% | 25.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 2.7% | 36.46 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 40
PLACE
1 19.5
5 16
7 40.5
QUINELLA
1,5 120
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 48
1,7 171
5,7 103.5
FORECAST
5,1 239
TIERCE
5,1,7 1,999
TRIO
1,5,7 511
FIRST 4
1,5,7,9 314
QUARTET
5,1,7,9 5,555