Sha Tin · 2024-12-01 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-01 was Class 2 over 1200m. SING DRAGON, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with FULL CREDIT second and CALL ME GLORIOUS third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SING DRAGON 1.08.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 4 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 11 | FULL CREDIT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 5 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 6 | CALL ME GLORIOUS L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPREME LUCKY TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 1 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P2 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | RAGING BLIZZARD P J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 9 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SEASONS WIT SR-/B2/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 2 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPERB BOY TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 97.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | WHIZZ KID V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 48.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 22.6% | 4.43 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | SING DRAGON | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | FULL CREDIT | 15.8% | 6.32 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 9.1% | 10.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 6.4% | 15.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 5.6% | 17.90 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPREME LUCKY | 5.1% | 19.55 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.2% | 23.84 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 3.9% | 25.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPERB BOY | 3.6% | 27.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SEASONS WIT | 3.1% | 32.35 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | WHIZZ KID | 2.6% | 38.18 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 36.5
PLACE
6 45
11 22
12 16
QUINELLA
11,12 99
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 135
6,12 96
11,12 40
FORECAST
12,11 208
TIERCE
12,11,6 1,669
TRIO
6,11,12 542
FIRST 4
3,6,11,12 1,876
QUARTET
12,11,6,3 26,724
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
8/11 51
8/12 102.5