Sha Tin · 2024-12-01 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-01 was Class 4 over 1200m. THE BOOM BOX, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with ISLAND BUDDY second and PANDA third. The 2.8 favourite CHEERFUL WORLD finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE BOOM BOX 1.09.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | PANDA B- A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 11 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER LEGENDS TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | LUCKY MAN BO/H L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAR CHAMP H A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | ELEGANT LIFE CP C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 6 | 122.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | CHEERFUL WORLD L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 1 | 2.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY SR/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 4 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR B-/XB H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 7 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GOOD CHAP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 42.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHEERFUL WORLD | 37.8% | 2.65 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER LEGENDS | 16.1% | 6.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | GOOD CHAP | 11.6% | 8.65 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | LUCKY MAN | 8.2% | 12.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | THE BOOM BOX | 7.7% | 12.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAR CHAMP | 3.8% | 26.30 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 3.5% | 28.33 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | PANDA | 3.0% | 33.43 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | ELEGANT LIFE | 2.8% | 35.27 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR | 2.5% | 40.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 1.9% | 53.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | ISLAND BUDDY | 1.2% | 85.67 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 50.5
PLACE
4 65.5
8 16.5
9 37
QUINELLA
8,9 339.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 282
4,9 617.5
8,9 103
FORECAST
8,9 634
TIERCE
8,9,4 17,985
TRIO
4,8,9 4,251
FIRST 4
2,4,8,9 2,818
QUARTET
8,9,4,2 70,720
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/8 270
5/9 172
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/4,8,9 443,286