Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 11:05
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 5 over 1200m. GOOD VIEW GLORY, ridden by M Barzalona and trained by C H Yip, won by HD, with WINNING HEART second and EVER SMART third. The 3.9 favourite EVER SMART finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD VIEW GLORY B 1.10.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Barzalona · C H Yip | M Barzalona | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING HEART B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.6 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | EVER SMART H-/TT J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 5 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT H Doyle · D J Whyte | H Doyle | D J Whyte | 8 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | TATTENHAM H/TT2 A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 4 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE B-/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | MULTIDARLING TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 153.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BEAU GOSSE B/XB M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 11 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | LAPRAS CP/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 2 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER EAGLE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 7.2 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ALLOY KING B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 32.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE | 20.2% | 4.96 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 14.7% | 6.80 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | EVER SMART | 14.3% | 6.97 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | WINNING HEART | 11.5% | 8.69 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER EAGLE | 10.7% | 9.32 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | TATTENHAM | 8.1% | 12.31 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 5.3% | 18.89 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | LAPRAS | 4.8% | 21.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 3.1% | 32.60 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | MULTIDARLING | 2.7% | 37.11 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | BEAU GOSSE | 2.4% | 41.04 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ALLOY KING | 2.2% | 45.43 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 148
PLACE
1 17
3 20.5
4 39.5
QUINELLA
3,4 366
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 46.5
1,4 122
3,4 127
FORECAST
4,3 973
TIERCE
4,3,1 4,736
TRIO
1,3,4 564
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 1,025
QUARTET
4,3,1,12 21,634
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1,3/3 25
1,3/4 1,201