Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT 1.40.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · D J Whyte | J McDonald | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly V/TT M Barzalona · K W Lui | M Barzalona | K W Lui | 9 | 21.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT C Keane · P F Yiu | C Keane | P F Yiu | 8 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/V1/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 3 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN DARCI Closed strongly XB Y Kawada · D J Hall | Y Kawada | D J Hall | 4 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CHATER GOLD Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H1/PC2/TT R Moore · P C Ng | R Moore | P C Ng | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly TT H Doyle · J Richards | H Doyle | J Richards | 11 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT W Buick · F C Lor | W Buick | F C Lor | 7 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER BABY Led early TT R King · M Newnham | R King | M Newnham | 1 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 22.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | CHARMING STEED TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 4 over 1650m. PRINCE ALEX, ridden by J McDonald and trained by D J Whyte, won by HD, with FOREVER GLORIOUS second and SURE JOYFUL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER BABY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 14.1% | 7.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | CHARMING STEED | 13.5% | 7.42 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG | 9.5% | 10.51 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR | 7.5% | 13.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN DARCI | 5.9% | 16.96 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER | 5.8% | 17.37 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | CHATER GOLD | 5.7% | 17.61 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | SURE JOYFUL | 4.0% | 24.91 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | SIXTH GENERATION | 2.8% | 35.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 2.6% | 38.54 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 100.5
PLACE
1 38.5
2 70.5
6 29.5
QUINELLA
2,6 1,295.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 314.5
1,6 163
2,6 425
FORECAST
6,2 2,494
TIERCE
6,2,1 14,177
TRIO
1,2,6 2,798
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 2,055
QUARTET
6,2,1,4 52,971
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
12/1/2 7,978
12/1/6 25,274
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/1,2,6 150,912
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 790
1/6 4,075