Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 22:57
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 3 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 31.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 59.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 46.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | KARMA TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SENOR TOBA TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 8 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 102.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | YELLOWFIN XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TURIN MASCOT PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 2 over 1800m. CHILL CHIBI, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with MOMENTS IN TIME second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite STUNNING PEACH finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STUNNING PEACH | 27.6% | 3.62 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | CHILL CHIBI | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KARMA | 9.9% | 10.08 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | RED HARE KING | 7.1% | 14.12 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | YELLOWFIN | 7.0% | 14.32 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 6.1% | 16.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | TURIN MASCOT | 5.9% | 16.82 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 5.8% | 17.26 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY | 4.4% | 22.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | SENOR TOBA | 3.0% | 33.81 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 2.5% | 39.88 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR CONTACT | 1.9% | 52.63 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 35.5
PLACE
1 63.5
3 15
10 25.5
QUINELLA
1,3 444
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 143
1,10 324.5
3,10 50.5
FORECAST
3,1 663
TIERCE
3,1,10 5,008
TRIO
1,3,10 1,041
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 6,764
QUARTET
3,1,10,12 83,113
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/8/1 4,602
12/8/3 3,441
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,3,10 367,910
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 936.5
8/3 597
SIX UP
1,3/2,6/4,10/5,12/3,8/1,3 58,156
4 [D A Hayes] —