Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 15:00
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 2 over 1800m. CHILL CHIBI, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with MOMENTS IN TIME second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite STUNNING PEACH finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 3 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 31.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 59.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 46.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | KARMA TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SENOR TOBA TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 8 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 102.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | YELLOWFIN XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TURIN MASCOT PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STUNNING PEACH | 27.6% | 3.62 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | CHILL CHIBI | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KARMA | 9.9% | 10.08 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | RED HARE KING | 7.1% | 14.12 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | YELLOWFIN | 7.0% | 14.32 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 6.1% | 16.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | TURIN MASCOT | 5.9% | 16.82 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 5.8% | 17.26 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY | 4.4% | 22.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | SENOR TOBA | 3.0% | 33.81 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 2.5% | 39.88 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR CONTACT | 1.9% | 52.63 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 35.5
PLACE
1 63.5
3 15
10 25.5
QUINELLA
1,3 444
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 143
1,10 324.5
3,10 50.5
FORECAST
3,1 663
TIERCE
3,1,10 5,008
TRIO
1,3,10 1,041
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 6,764
QUARTET
3,1,10,12 83,113
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/8/1 4,602
12/8/3 3,441
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,3,10 367,910
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 936.5
8/3 597
SIX UP
1,3/2,6/4,10/5,12/3,8/1,3 58,156
4 [D A Hayes] —