Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 21:41
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly XB 1.40.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 5 | SILO Closed strongly CP K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 7 | 7.2 | N |
| 3 | 11 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B- Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 20.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT W Buick · C Fownes | W Buick | C Fownes | 9 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SAMARKAND CP/TT R King · D A Hayes | R King | D A Hayes | 12 | 47.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER UNICORN TT M Barzalona · F C Lor | M Barzalona | F C Lor | 1 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 8 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | DARING PURSUIT TT R Moore · C Fownes | R Moore | C Fownes | 6 | 4.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT C Keane · W K Mo | C Keane | W K Mo | 10 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NEVER TOO SOON Y Kawada · D J Hall | Y Kawada | D J Hall | 5 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LOVERO Led early TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 11 | 25.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 3 over 1650m. SOLEIL FIGHTER, ridden by H Doyle and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with SILO second and AESTHETICISM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SUPER UNICORN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER UNICORN | 21.1% | 4.74 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | DARING PURSUIT | 13.6% | 7.35 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 12.9% | 7.76 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 10.0% | 9.99 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND | 9.8% | 10.17 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | AESTHETICISM | 7.6% | 13.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SILO | 7.2% | 13.83 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | M UNICORN | 5.0% | 20.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | LOVERO | 3.8% | 26.46 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | SAMARKAND | 3.3% | 30.26 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.3% | 30.67 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.4% | 41.75 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 63
PLACE
5 24
11 44.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
5,12 261.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 204
5,12 86.5
11,12 188.5
FORECAST
12,5 510
TIERCE
12,5,11 5,901
TRIO
5,11,12 1,374
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 6,317
QUARTET
12,5,11,3 94,391
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,12/5,11,12 36,209
6TH DOUBLE
10/5 58
10/12 384.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/4,10,12/Any Combination 11,590