Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 19:31
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.7 | N |
| 2 | 4 | CORLEONE Led early TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 4.7 | N |
| 3 | 10 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | MIGHTY STRENGTH XB H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 4 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | YEAH BUDDY Closed strongly H/V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 81.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR LINE B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | VIVA HUNTER TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly CP1/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 9 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly C Keane · K H Ting | C Keane | K H Ting | 8 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | DURHAM STAR B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 5 | 39.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ORIENTAL TYCOON PC M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 108.0 | 20-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 4 over 1650m. YOUTH POWER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with CORLEONE second and CALIFORNIA MOXIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH | 21.7% | 4.60 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | YOUTH POWER | 19.5% | 5.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | CORLEONE | 15.6% | 6.41 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 12.5% | 8.02 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | DURHAM STAR | 8.1% | 12.41 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 5.4% | 18.62 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 4.7% | 21.11 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | STAR LINE | 3.7% | 26.86 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | VIVA HUNTER | 3.4% | 29.53 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 2.3% | 42.66 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | YEAH BUDDY | 1.9% | 52.52 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 1.2% | 84.98 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 47.5
PLACE
4 18
10 46.5
12 18
QUINELLA
4,12 116
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 107
4,12 47.5
10,12 135.5
FORECAST
12,4 288
TIERCE
12,4,10 2,588
TRIO
4,10,12 565
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 313
QUARTET
12,4,10,2 8,522
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/4,10,12 46,983
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 295.5
4/12 1,377.5