Happy Valley · 2024-12-04 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-04 was Class 4 over 1200m. SMART FIGHTER, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE second and CRYSTAL POWERFUL third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART FIGHTER TT 1.10.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT M Barzalona · W K Mo | M Barzalona | W K Mo | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TEAM HAPPY B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | FORTUNE WARRIOR XB/H1/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | PANDA LEGEND TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | STREET CONQUEROR TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB/CP1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WORLD HERO B- H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 12 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 78.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SHINE BRIGHT B A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 5 | 83.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART FIGHTER | 29.7% | 3.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 24.3% | 4.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | TEAM HAPPY | 10.7% | 9.32 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | PRIME MORTAR | 6.7% | 14.82 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | STREET CONQUEROR | 5.9% | 16.90 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 5.1% | 19.55 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 5.0% | 19.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | WORLD HERO | 4.4% | 22.50 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 4.3% | 23.34 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 1.7% | 59.75 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | PANDA LEGEND | 1.2% | 84.25 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | SHINE BRIGHT | 0.9% | 111.42 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 26
PLACE
4 17
10 12
12 32
QUINELLA
4,10 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 31.5
4,12 96
10,12 47
FORECAST
10,4 130
TIERCE
10,4,12 726
TRIO
4,10,12 202
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 213
QUARTET
10,4,12,1 2,853
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
6/4 78.5
6/10 276