Happy Valley · 2024-12-11 · 18:41
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FURY AND GOLD Closed strongly TT 2.17.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 6 | 2.9 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | GOLDEN FAIRY Led early A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT2 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PALACE PAL V Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | ON THE LASH B/XB/TT J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | MR ALADDIN B/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 5 | 7.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | TIGER AND GOLD B-/CP1 B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 4 | 57.0 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-11 was Class 5 over 2200m. FURY AND GOLD, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with GOLDEN FAIRY second and NICE BIRDIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PALACE PAL | 28.5% | 3.51 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | ON THE LASH | 19.7% | 5.08 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | FURY AND GOLD | 17.6% | 5.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 17.5% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | NICE BIRDIE | 6.5% | 15.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MR ALADDIN | 6.0% | 16.64 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.3% | 30.60 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.8% | 126.77 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 29
PLACE
5 42.5
6 13.5
7 16
QUINELLA
6,7 79
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 95.5
5,7 129
6,7 31
FORECAST
6,7 132
TIERCE
6,7,5 1,296
TRIO
5,6,7 300
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 332
QUARTET
6,7,5,4 4,851