Happy Valley · 2024-12-11 · 11:20
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-11 was Class 5 over 1000m. COUNTRY DANCER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by HD, with SAME TO YOU second and WIND SPEEDER third. The 3.8 favourite PLENTIFUL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER E 0.57.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 4 | 25.0 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B2 A Pouchin · Y S Tsui | A Pouchin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.1 | HD |
| 4 | 10 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | DAN ATTACK B/TT J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 8 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | RUBY SAILING B2/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 41.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | TIMESTORM V L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LIFE OF STONE B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 78.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 9 | ACE TALENT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | PHILOS Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PLENTIFUL | 26.8% | 3.73 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 14.3% | 6.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | DAN ATTACK | 14.0% | 7.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 11.2% | 8.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | RUBY SAILING | 10.8% | 9.26 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | TIMESTORM | 8.0% | 12.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | SAME TO YOU | 6.3% | 15.90 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER | 5.5% | 18.03 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 1.9% | 53.26 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | LIFE OF STONE | 1.2% | 86.86 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 119.5
PLACE
6 54
7 36
12 19
QUINELLA
6,7 1,132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 357.5
6,12 188.5
7,12 107.5
FORECAST
7,6 2,249
TIERCE
7,6,12 14,713
TRIO
6,7,12 2,198
FIRST 4
6,7,10,12 1,493
QUARTET
7,6,12,10 53,520
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/6 104
6/7 781