Happy Valley · 2024-12-11 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | ME TIME Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly TT A Pouchin · C S Shum | A Pouchin | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DRAGON STAR XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 1 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | COURIER MAGIC B B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 7 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | HEALTHY GOLF CP-/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 123.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY SR/XB B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 8 | 34.0 | 23-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-11 was Class 4 over 1800m. CAN'T GO WONG, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with DRAGON DELIGHT second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite ESCAPE ROUTE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 22.9% | 4.36 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 12.9% | 7.74 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST | 12.3% | 8.16 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG | 10.0% | 10.01 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING SILVER | 8.6% | 11.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | ME TIME | 8.1% | 12.37 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.1% | 16.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | DRAGON STAR | 6.1% | 16.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | COURIER MAGIC | 5.3% | 18.92 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 4.3% | 23.07 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 2.8% | 36.27 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | HEALTHY GOLF | 0.7% | 135.11 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 57
PLACE
1 33.5
6 24.5
11 54.5
QUINELLA
6,11 686
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 95
1,11 285.5
6,11 196.5
FORECAST
6,11 1,149
TIERCE
6,11,1 9,829
TRIO
1,6,11 1,841
FIRST 4
1,6,9,11 3,666
QUARTET
6,11,1,9 79,086
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/10/6 3,537
4/10/11 2,333
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/1,6,11 55,600
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 362
10/11 287