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Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 19:13

Race 2

Class 4 1800m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/TT 1.49.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D Eustace 11 3.9 3/4
2 2 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor 4 12.0 3/4
3 9 ME TIME Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte 3 2.7 1-3/4
4 8 GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size 2 10.0 3-1/4
5 12 DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 10 12.0 4-1/2
6 7 DRAGON STAR V/XB K Teetan · P C Ng 1 9.3 5-3/4
7 4 HIGHLAND RAHY B/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui 9 8.0 6-1/4
8 6 JUBILATION Closed strongly V M Chadwick · W Y So 5 36.0 6-1/4
9 3 HAPPY UNIVERSE P1 K C Leung · K H Ting 8 55.0 6-1/2
10 5 INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang 6 52.0 7
11 10 HAPPY HERO B L Ferraris · M Newnham 7 49.0 8
12 11 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 42.0 43

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 4 over 1800m. CHARITY GAIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D Eustace, won by 3/4, with CAN'T GO WONG second and ME TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite ME TIME finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHARITY GAIN—2. CAN'T GO WONG+0.75L3. ME TIME+1.75L4. GOOD GOOD+3.25L5. DRAGON DELIGHT+4.5L6. DRAGON STAR+5.75L7. HIGHLAND RAHY+6.25L8. JUBILATION+6.25L9. HAPPY UNIVERSE+6.5L10. INTREPID WINNER+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ME TIME (35.2%) finished 3rd — the winner CHARITY GAIN was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 ME TIME 35.2% 2.84 3
2 1 CHARITY GAIN 11.9% 8.38 1
3 12 DRAGON DELIGHT 10.1% 9.90 5
4 6 JUBILATION 9.6% 10.42 8
5 7 DRAGON STAR 7.4% 13.49 6
6 8 GOOD GOOD 6.8% 14.61 4
7 4 HIGHLAND RAHY 5.5% 18.07 7
8 2 CAN'T GO WONG 4.3% 23.38 2
9 11 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM 2.9% 34.73 12
10 10 HAPPY HERO 2.7% 36.79 11
11 3 HAPPY UNIVERSE 2.0% 49.42 9
12 5 INTREPID WINNER 1.5% 68.10 10
ME TIMECHARITY GAIN — wonDRAGON DELIGHTJUBILATIONDRAGON STARGOOD GOODHIGHLAND RAHYCAN'T GO WONGARTHUR'S KINGDOMHAPPY HEROHAPPY UNIVERSEINTREPID WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 39.5

PLACE

1 17

2 31.5

9 13

QUINELLA

1,2 274

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 87

1,9 26

2,9 54.5

FORECAST

1,2 388

TIERCE

1,2,9 1,117

TRIO

1,2,9 158

FIRST 4

1,2,8,9 340

QUARTET

1,2,9,8 8,530

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/1 311.5

6/2 123