Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 4 over 1800m. CHARITY GAIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D Eustace, won by 3/4, with CAN'T GO WONG second and ME TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite ME TIME finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/TT 1.49.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 11 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ME TIME Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | DRAGON STAR V/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 9.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY B/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 9 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 55.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 6 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY HERO B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 49.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 42.0 | 43 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ME TIME | 35.2% | 2.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | CHARITY GAIN | 11.9% | 8.38 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 10.1% | 9.90 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | JUBILATION | 9.6% | 10.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | DRAGON STAR | 7.4% | 13.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | GOOD GOOD | 6.8% | 14.61 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 5.5% | 18.07 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | CAN'T GO WONG | 4.3% | 23.38 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 2.9% | 34.73 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY HERO | 2.7% | 36.79 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 2.0% | 49.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 1.5% | 68.10 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 39.5
PLACE
1 17
2 31.5
9 13
QUINELLA
1,2 274
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 87
1,9 26
2,9 54.5
FORECAST
1,2 388
TIERCE
1,2,9 1,117
TRIO
1,2,9 158
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 340
QUARTET
1,2,9,8 8,530
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 311.5
6/2 123