Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 4 over 1000m. PARENTS' LOVE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with CHAMPION METHOD second and HAPPY UNITED third. The 4.0 favourite SUPER SIXTY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT 0.57.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | CHAMPION METHOD TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 7 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY UNITED PC-/B2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER SIXTY H/P A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE XB/CP2 A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MR VALIANT B-/TT K De Melo · D Eustace | K De Melo | D Eustace | 5 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 6 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | LEAN MASTER B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BITS SUPERSTAR PC K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SWEET DIAMOND TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 4 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | REWARDING TWINKLE TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | RICH HORSE XB1/TT- B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 112.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY UNITED | 21.9% | 4.56 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER SIXTY | 15.8% | 6.32 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | PARENTS' LOVE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | SWEET DIAMOND | 12.1% | 8.23 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 7.2% | 13.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAMPION METHOD | 6.9% | 14.59 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 6.3% | 15.93 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | LEAN MASTER | 5.8% | 17.31 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 3.2% | 31.29 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | MR VALIANT | 3.0% | 33.44 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 2.7% | 37.55 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | RICH HORSE | 1.7% | 58.17 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 77
PLACE
1 20
6 25.5
8 26
QUINELLA
6,8 270
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 69
1,8 76
6,8 93.5
FORECAST
8,6 541
TIERCE
8,6,1 2,813
TRIO
1,6,8 495
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 359
QUARTET
8,6,1,10 12,226
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
2,11/6/6 61
2,11/6/8 370
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,9/1,6,8 5,955
4TH DOUBLE
6/6 37
6/8 246