Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 3 over 1650m. DEFINITIVE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by NOSE, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and BEATO third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite SOLEIL FIGHTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DEFINITIVE Wire to wire CP-/B1/TT 1.39.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 42.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly XB K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | BEATO Closed strongly V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | RED MAJESTY B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | PRAY FOR MIR CP Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 3 | 4.2 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN ARTIE C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 4 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | I CAN H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PRAY FOR MIR | 36.1% | 2.77 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 11.5% | 8.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 10.3% | 9.72 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | BEATO | 6.3% | 15.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | I CAN | 6.3% | 15.93 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | RED MAJESTY | 5.2% | 19.11 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 4.9% | 20.32 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.6% | 21.92 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SETANTA | 4.2% | 24.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 4.1% | 24.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | GALAXY WITNESS | 4.1% | 24.37 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | DEFINITIVE | 2.4% | 40.84 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 422.5
PLACE
4 15
7 118.5
9 29
QUINELLA
4,7 712
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 304.5
4,9 74.5
7,9 332
FORECAST
7,4 2,571
TIERCE
7,4,9 20,939
TRIO
4,7,9 2,882
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 8,739
QUARTET
7,4,9,10 249,827
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/4 295
4/7 7,443