Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 4 over 1200m. SKY JEWELLERY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1, with VIGOR ELLEEGANT second and SILVER SPURS third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SKY JEWELLERY 1.10.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 6 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SILVER SPURS CP/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | TELECOM DRAGON TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 4 | 43.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | GLORY B CP A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 8 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART FIGHTER TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | GIMME FIVE B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF B/TT2 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 42.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD PROSPECT H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 9.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 9 | 7.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SMART FIGHTER | 19.0% | 5.26 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | GIMME FIVE | 18.5% | 5.40 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | SKY JEWELLERY | 13.3% | 7.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | TELECOM DRAGON | 12.2% | 8.17 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 7.2% | 13.94 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | GOOD PROSPECT | 5.9% | 16.91 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | GLORY B | 5.8% | 17.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 4.1% | 24.56 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF | 4.0% | 25.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 3.8% | 26.02 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | SILVER SPURS | 3.5% | 28.37 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 2.6% | 37.79 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 37
PLACE
4 16.5
8 32
11 45
QUINELLA
4,11 406
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 94
4,11 147
8,11 378
FORECAST
4,11 588
TIERCE
4,11,8 8,711
TRIO
4,8,11 1,936
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 3,469
QUARTET
4,11,8,3 61,774
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
8/4 599.5
8/11 310