Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 19:44
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly H1 1.40.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 8 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly V1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | CORLEONE TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 5.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 4 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | GOR MO TUEN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 90.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SILVER KING Closed strongly H/P/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | BOWSER PC-/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 21.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE H/XB/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 5 | 67.0 | 20-1/4 |
| — | 2 | HAPPY DAILY Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 4 over 1650m. TAKE ACTION, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 2, with LUCKY TOUCH second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TAKE ACTION | 21.9% | 4.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 17.1% | 5.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY TOUCH | 14.6% | 6.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | BOWSER | 13.0% | 7.72 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | CORLEONE | 12.2% | 8.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 8.9% | 11.23 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | SILVER KING | 4.6% | 21.76 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | NORTHERN BEAST | 4.6% | 21.88 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | PANDA LEGEND | 1.5% | 66.42 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | GOR MO TUEN | 0.9% | 106.68 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 0.7% | 147.63 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 24
PLACE
4 19.5
5 36.5
11 11.5
QUINELLA
4,11 81
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 124
4,11 30
5,11 74.5
FORECAST
11,4 129
TIERCE
11,4,5 941
TRIO
4,5,11 350
FIRST 4
4,5,8,11 264
QUARTET
11,4,5,8 4,292
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/4,5>2,11 6,525
2ND DOUBLE
1/2,11 103
1/4 48.5