Happy Valley · 2025-01-15 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-15 was Class 2 over 1000m. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with STELLAR EXPRESS second and YOUTHFUL SPIRITS third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER TT 0.56.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 1.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | STELLAR EXPRESS B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS B/SR/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP2/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 5 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 2 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | WHIZZ KID V/TT A Pouchin · A S Cruz | A Pouchin | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | BRAVE STAR XB K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 7 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 42.6% | 2.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 16.4% | 6.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 14.7% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | BRAVE STAR | 7.6% | 13.19 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 6.3% | 15.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 4.8% | 20.65 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 3.2% | 31.06 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | WHIZZ KID | 2.4% | 42.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.0% | 50.59 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 17.5
PLACE
6 10.1
7 18.5
9 21
QUINELLA
6,7 48.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 23.5
6,9 33.5
7,9 59
FORECAST
6,7 70
TIERCE
6,7,9 234
TRIO
6,7,9 88
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 136
QUARTET
6,7,9,1 1,283
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2,11/6 49
2,11/7 25.5