Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 5 over 1000m. PLENTIFUL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-3/4, with SPEEDY FORTUNE second and DAY DAY VICTORY third. The 4.4 favourite WIND SPEEDER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT 0.57.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 5 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | DAY DAY VICTORY L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TIMESTORM V/TT2 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GORGEOUS VITALITY TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DAN ATTACK B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE V/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 25.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | PHILOS B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 18.0% | 5.56 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | PLENTIFUL | 16.0% | 6.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 15.4% | 6.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | TIMESTORM | 10.4% | 9.65 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | DAN ATTACK | 5.4% | 18.56 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 4.5% | 21.99 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 4.2% | 23.54 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.5% | 28.93 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW | 3.2% | 31.15 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | PHILOS | 3.2% | 31.25 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 2.8% | 35.09 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 53
PLACE
3 21
4 47
7 18.5
QUINELLA
3,7 156
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 156
3,7 58
4,7 147.5
FORECAST
7,3 297
TIERCE
7,3,4 4,104
TRIO
3,4,7 1,012
FIRST 4
3,4,7,12 719
QUARTET
7,3,4,12 16,999