Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 3 over 1200m. BEAUTY DESTINY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with HAPPY FAT CAT second and YOUNG ARROW third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY DESTINY H/P/TT 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 2 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | YOUNG ARROW CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | RIDING TOGETHER XB/TT1 Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | REZEKI K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | THUNDER PRINCE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MIDORI GLORY PC-/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 59.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | VON BAER M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 85.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 31.5% | 3.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 16.0% | 6.26 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT | 13.1% | 7.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | RIDING TOGETHER | 10.4% | 9.60 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | THUNDER PRINCE | 6.0% | 16.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 5.3% | 18.98 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 5.0% | 19.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.2% | 23.64 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | YOUNG ARROW | 4.0% | 25.08 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | REZEKI | 1.7% | 58.92 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | VON BAER | 1.7% | 58.93 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | MIDORI GLORY | 1.1% | 93.70 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32
PLACE
2 15.5
10 34
11 35
QUINELLA
2,10 294.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 104.5
2,11 91
10,11 210.5
FORECAST
2,10 436
TIERCE
2,10,11 3,542
TRIO
2,10,11 854
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 1,476
QUARTET
2,10,11,7 21,665
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/2 280.5
6/10 190.5