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Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 12:45

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. HAPPY TRIO, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with SIGHT HAPPY second and PERFECT GENERAL third. The 1.9 favourite SIGHT HAPPY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.10.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 HAPPY TRIO V-/B2/TT 1.10.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 40.0 1/2
2 5 SIGHT HAPPY CP Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 1.9 1/2
3 2 PERFECT GENERAL H1/P1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 5.6 1-1/4
4 8 FORTUNE WARRIOR P-/H/XB/TT A Badel · D Eustace 10 9.5 1-1/2
5 1 KING PROFIT TT A Pouchin · C S Shum 8 10.0 1-3/4
6 12 MR GOOD VIBES B-/V1 K Teetan · D J Hall 5 52.0 2-1/4
7 3 MOTOMAN PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 5.9 2-3/4
8 11 THE PRIME B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 11 64.0 3
9 6 E UNIVERSE V-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 6 69.0 3
10 7 BINGO BABE B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui 4 89.0 3-1/2
11 4 ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 40.0 3-3/4
12 10 FOXHUNTER KING CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 1 28.0 4-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY TRIO2. SIGHT HAPPY+0.5L3. PERFECT GENERAL+1.25L4. FORTUNE WARRIOR+1.5L5. KING PROFIT+1.75L6. MR GOOD VIBES+2.25L7. MOTOMAN+2.75L8. THE PRIME+3L9. E UNIVERSE+3L10. BINGO BABE+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SIGHT HAPPY (36.1%) finished 2nd — the winner HAPPY TRIO was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 SIGHT HAPPY 36.1% 2.77 2
2 3 MOTOMAN 25.2% 3.96 7
3 2 PERFECT GENERAL 14.9% 6.69 3
4 8 FORTUNE WARRIOR 8.7% 11.50 4
5 1 KING PROFIT 4.1% 24.32 5
6 6 E UNIVERSE 2.3% 43.74 9
7 12 MR GOOD VIBES 2.1% 48.17 6
8 11 THE PRIME 1.9% 53.39 8
9 9 HAPPY TRIO 1.7% 60.09 1
10 4 ONE FOR ALL 1.6% 61.39 11
11 10 FOXHUNTER KING 1.0% 101.90 12
12 7 BINGO BABE 0.4% 247.34 10
SIGHT HAPPYMOTOMANPERFECT GENERALFORTUNE WARRIORKING PROFITE UNIVERSEMR GOOD VIBESTHE PRIMEHAPPY TRIO — wonONE FOR ALLFOXHUNTER KINGBINGO BABE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 403

PLACE

2 19.5

5 10.1

9 69.5

QUINELLA

5,9 326

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 26

2,9 247.5

5,9 103

FORECAST

9,5 1,261

TIERCE

9,5,2 6,100

TRIO

2,5,9 478

FIRST 4

2,5,8,9 723

QUARTET

9,5,2,8 35,122

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

10/11/5 51

10/11/9 7,005

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,11/2,5,9 25,542

4TH DOUBLE

11/5 22.5

11/9 1,877.5