Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. GOLDEN EMPIRE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with PRIME MORTAR second and DRACO third. The 3.6 favourite JUDY'S GREAT finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B 1.10.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 6.9 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.4 | HD |
| 3 | 11 | DRACO CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | LEAN MASTER B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SOLAR UP PC-/H/P2/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BULB EMPEROR B/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | ACCOLADE START XB/B2/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 5 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | JUDY'S GREAT TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 1 | 3.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ICONICAL TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 6 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 84.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 141.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUDY'S GREAT | 29.2% | 3.43 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | PRIME MORTAR | 14.8% | 6.75 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | DRACO | 12.1% | 8.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | SOLAR UP | 11.5% | 8.68 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 8.6% | 11.60 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | BULB EMPEROR | 6.1% | 16.37 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | LEAN MASTER | 5.7% | 17.52 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 3.2% | 31.03 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | ICONICAL | 3.1% | 31.90 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | ACCOLADE START | 3.1% | 32.46 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 2.0% | 50.07 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE | 0.6% | 175.19 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 69.5
PLACE
1 20.5
5 19
11 23.5
QUINELLA
1,5 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 64.5
1,11 72.5
5,11 61.5
FORECAST
1,5 417
TIERCE
1,5,11 2,189
TRIO
1,5,11 372
FIRST 4
1,2,5,11 606
QUARTET
1,5,11,2 11,286
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 245
7/5 45.5