Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 4 over 1650m. TURIN WARRIOR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won by N, with VIVA GRACIOUSNESS second and GOOD LUCK WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite CLASSIC CENTURY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB 1.39.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.3 | N |
| 3 | 4 | GOOD LUCK WIN Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | EN PERFECTO Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | GOOD LUCK BABE Led early XB/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 6 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | FIREFOOT TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | RAGNARR Closed strongly B-/H/CP1/XB2 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SNOWALOT B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 9 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | CLASSIC CENTURY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 4.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | NOT USUAL DRAGON CP-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 120.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PHANTOM CYCLONE CP/TT K De Melo · T P Yung | K De Melo | T P Yung | 2 | 88.0 | 31-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHARMING STEED E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 21.9% | 4.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | FIREFOOT | 18.7% | 5.34 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 17.9% | 5.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | CLASSIC CENTURY | 11.7% | 8.53 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | SMART CITY | 8.4% | 11.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | RAGNARR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.0% | 16.69 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | SNOWALOT | 3.7% | 27.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 1.5% | 68.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 1.4% | 70.71 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | EN PERFECTO | 1.0% | 96.09 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | NOT USUAL DRAGON | 0.5% | 219.24 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 234.5
PLACE
2 52.5
4 20
10 16.5
QUINELLA
2,10 576.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 224
2,10 176.5
4,10 42.5
FORECAST
2,10 1,339
TIERCE
2,10,4 6,121
TRIO
2,4,10 719
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 2,294
QUARTET
2,10,4,11 75,332
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
9/2 6,848.5
9/10 269.5