Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT 1.40.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 5 | 5.7 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | SKY VINO H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | DEVILDOM K De Melo · T P Yung | K De Melo | T P Yung | 7 | 81.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | THESIS Closed strongly TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 8 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HANDSOME BOMB Led early CP/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 66.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | AMAZING RUN Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | TO INFINITY B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 69.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 3 | 42.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 4 over 1650m. AMAZING AWARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by HD, with STURDY RUBY second and SKY VINO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite BEAUTY ALLIANCE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AMAZING AWARD | 27.6% | 3.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 16.1% | 6.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY VINO | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | STURDY RUBY | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | THESIS | 8.3% | 12.03 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX | 6.9% | 14.58 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | AMAZING RUN | 6.0% | 16.73 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | HANDSOME BOMB | 5.1% | 19.54 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 4.4% | 22.79 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 2.6% | 39.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | LITTLE FAIRY | 2.2% | 44.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | DEVILDOM | 1.7% | 59.27 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 57
PLACE
4 25.5
7 30
11 18.5
QUINELLA
4,11 266.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 140.5
4,11 79.5
7,11 77.5
FORECAST
11,4 517
TIERCE
11,4,7 2,593
TRIO
4,7,11 516
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 235
QUARTET
11,4,7,1 7,455
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
10/4 59.5
10/11 101.5